John Tierney writing in the City Journal on 6 February lays out the the real odds of dying from Covid 19. If you are under 65, vaccinated and healthy, your odds of dying of Covid 19 are roughly the same as dying in a fire or from falling down stairs and less than the odds of dying in an earthquake or from being stuck by lighting.
These odds seem counter-intuitive given the messianic predictions of disaster coming from health bureaucrats, politicians and the media. Unfortunately, it shows how easily the Karens in society can be motivated to support draconian restrictions on fellow citizens. The combination of unwarranted fear, media fuelled hysteria, and the ability to scold and control others and demonstrate superior virtue is irresistible to Karen mentality
As John Tierney writes:
The researchers report that none of the healthy people under 65 had a severe case of Covid that required treatment in an intensive-care unit. Not a single one of these nearly 700,000 people died, and the risk was minuscule for most older people, too. Among vaccinated people over 65 without an underlying medical condition, only one person died. In all, there were 36 deaths, mostly among a small minority of older people with a multitude of comorbidities: the 3 percent of the sample that had at least four risk factors. Among everyone else, a group that included elderly people with one or two chronic conditions, there were just eight deaths among more than 1.2 million people, so their risk of dying was about 1 in 150,000.
Those are roughly the same odds that in the course of a year you will die in a fire, or that you’ll perish by falling down stairs. Going anywhere near automobiles is a bigger risk: you’re three times more likely during a given year to be killed while riding in a car, and also three times more likely to be a pedestrian casualty. The 150,000-to-1 odds of a Covid death are even longer than the odds over your lifetime of dying in an earthquake or being killed by lightning.
Read the Full Article: “Understanding the Covid Odds”, City Journal, 6 February 2022